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It uses datadriven projections to forecast all 435 races and runs 10,000 simulations of the election after every update. 2% of the vote in 2018. prediction markets are overwhelmingly expecting paxton to win the march 3 primary. the odds of the save america act passing the senate and signed into law in 2026 are 16% according to the polymarket betting odds, and the kalshi market odds show 11.
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